Regional Head of Research, Americas | Managing Director
Padhraic Garvey is the Regional Head of Research, Americas | Managing Director at his current firm. He specializes in finance, commodities and futures, and financial markets, with a focus on the United States and global markets, as well as international finance and commodity trading. Padhraic's insights and analyses have been featured in TalkMarkets, ING, and bne IntelliNews.
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Padhraic's articles primarily focus on finance and economy, specifically covering interest rates, the bond market, monetary policy, and economic outlook. His coverage attributes suggest a heavy reliance on data and investment analysis.
For pitching to Padhraic, consider providing well-researched insights supported by reliable data. You may also want to consider offering commentary from experienced professionals in the field of finance or economics who can provide expert perspectives on interest rate trends, monetary policy decisions, or economic indicators. Given his emphasis on investment analysis and citing data extensively in his work, sources with access to relevant financial data or those capable of providing thorough investment analysis would be valuable for Padhraic's coverage.
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Market measures point to a calming, but calm rarely persists
With the 30yr swap spread continuing to edge lower, attention turns to the front end and the Jackson Hole Symposium.
Mapping 4.5% to 5% as the key extremity bands for the 10yr yield
By: Michiel Tukker, Padhraic Garvey
Treasury 10-year yields face persistent upward pressure toward 4.75%-5% despite government buyback interventions.
The Fed faces a September policy conundrum as benign PCE data fails to shift hawkish expectations.
Chair Warsh's hawkish Jackson Hole remarks pushed September rate hike odds to 54%, warning that inflation is not self-correcting.
Bessent and Warsh interact with real rates and inflation expectations, and hey presto!
Fed Chair Warsh and Treasury Secretary Bessent have their attention focused on the front end and back end of the yield curve.
By: James Knightley, james smith, Padhraic Garvey, Carsten Brzeski, Chris Turner, Rebecca Byrne
Join our live webinar on 9 September to discuss the next round of central bank meetings
Pressure on long-end rates continues to build until action is taken (hike(s) and/or fiscal discipline), or until something breaks
